🗳️ Elections

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Check on Polymarket →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$92k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 98%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Elections
7%
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Elections
7%
Will Turkey announce a snap election in 2026?
Elections
5%
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?
Elections
82%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
98%
probability of YES
Polymarket
98%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$92k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen