🗳️ Elections

Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2
Liquidity
$62

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 81%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) has become law after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
81%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2
Liquidity$62
CategoryElections
StatusOpen