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🗳️ Elections
Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$156
Liquidity
$62k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2027
16%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jul 1, 2027
12%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Apr 1, 2027
10%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
3%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Dec 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
23%
probability of YES
Kalshi
23%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$156
Liquidity$62k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen