🗳️ Elections
Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$773k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the Clarity Act become law?

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028
27%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jul 1, 2027
23%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2027
22%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Apr 1, 2027
19%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
8%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Dec 1, 2026
6%
Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Nov 1, 2026
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$773k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen