Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the European Union has formally adopted a binding EU-wide prohibition on imports of goods originating in Israeli settlements in the occupied Palestinian territories, covering those goods generally as a class rather than only a narrow product category, after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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