🗳️ Elections

Will the House pass a Social Security tax cap increase?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

25%

75%

No (75%)Yes (25%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 25%.

About this market

If a bill raising or eliminating the Social Security payroll tax cap has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

25%

probability of YES

Kalshi

25%Check

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Resolution

Jan 1, 2028

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity—

CategoryElections

StatusOpen