🗳️ Elections

Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
67%
No
33%
No (33%)Yes (67%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$238

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 67%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successful election of the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset will result in this market's resolving to "Yes". This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a Speaker of the 26th Knesset is successfully elected. Otherwise, this market may not resolve until its expiration time passes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset and the Government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
67%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$238
CategoryElections
StatusOpen