🗳️ Elections
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Before 2027
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$220k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$220k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen