📊 Macro
How many jobs added in October?

Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?

Live
Resolves Nov 7, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
19%
No
81%
No (81%)Yes (19%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$322
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 19%.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

All outcomes · How many jobs added in October?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
19%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 7, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$322
Liquidity$1k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen