🗳️ Elections

Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

If a federal ban on public access to open-source AI models is enacted in the United States through legislation, an executive order, a regulation or another binding federal measure before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will Putin visit the U.S. in 2026?
Elections
13%
Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026?
Elections
33%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Elections
3%
Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again in 2026?
Elections
22%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen