🗳️ Elections
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$30k
Liquidity
$780k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 4%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$30k
Liquidity$780k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen