Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 7%. Polymarket has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?