Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term? — Before Jan 1, 2029

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 9%.

About this market

If the 22nd Amendment has been repealed by a subsequent Constitutional Amendment, or if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled in an opinion or judgment that the 22nd Amendment permits individuals to be elected to the Presidency at least thrice under at least some circumstances, before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.