Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 81%. Polymarket has moved up 32pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

All outcomes · Will Trump be impeached by...?