🗳️ Elections
Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Will Trump declare an election emergency? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
26%
No
74%
No (74%)Yes (26%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$25k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 26%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
26%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$25k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen