🗳️ Elections
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Live
Resolves Jan 20, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$56
Liquidity
$47k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 41%.

About this market

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before 2027
19%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
41%
probability of YES
Kalshi
41%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 20, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$56
Liquidity$47k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen