Will Trump issue dividend payments? — Before Apr 1, 2027

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Resolves Apr 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

22%

78%

No (78%)Yes (22%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 22%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.