Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 18%. Polymarket has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Who will Trump pardon before 2027?