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🗳️ Elections

Will Trump say "Union" during his Midterm Rally in New York?

Closed
Resolves Oct 9, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$646
Liquidity
$297

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 22%.

About this market

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York on October 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-syracuse-ny-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in New York on October 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
22%
probability of YES
Polymarket
22%
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 9, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$646
Liquidity$297
CategoryElections
StatusClosed