🗳️ Elections

Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 30%. Kalshi has moved down 24pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
30%
probability of YES
Kalshi
30%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen