Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 9%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure after Issuance and before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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