🗳️ Elections

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
73%
No
27%
No (27%)Yes (73%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$514
Liquidity
$807

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 73%. Kalshi has moved up 59pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
73%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$514
Liquidity$807
CategoryElections
StatusOpen