Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 32+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

78%

22%

No (22%)Yes (78%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 78%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wyoming by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Wyoming Senate margin of victory

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 26+ pts

97%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 28+ pts

89%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 30+ pts

87%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 34+ pts

64%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 36+ pts

50%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 38+ pts

40%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 40+ pts

35%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 42+ pts

30%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 44+ pts

26%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 46+ pts

22%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

78%

probability of YES

Kalshi

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$96

CategoryElections

StatusOpen