🗳️ Elections
Wyoming Senate margin of victory

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 40+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$510

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 35%.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wyoming by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Wyoming Senate margin of victory

Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 26+ pts
97%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 28+ pts
89%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 30+ pts
87%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 32+ pts
78%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 34+ pts
64%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 36+ pts
50%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 38+ pts
40%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 42+ pts
30%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 44+ pts
26%
Wyoming Senate margin of victory — Hageman, 46+ pts
22%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
35%
probability of YES
Kalshi
35%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$510
CategoryElections
StatusOpen