2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — D-House, R-Senate

Live

Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

29%

71%

No (71%)Yes (29%)

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 29%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

29%

probability of YES

Kalshi

Resolution

Feb 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$23k

Liquidity$1.2m

CategoryElections

StatusOpen