2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Republicans sweep

Live

Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

10%

90%

No (90%)Yes (10%)

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

10%

probability of YES

Kalshi

Resolution

Feb 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$632k

Liquidity$4.9m

CategoryElections

StatusOpen