2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? — Democrats sweep

Live

Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

59%

41%

No (41%)Yes (59%)

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 59%. Kalshi has moved up 10pp over the past 7 days.

If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

59%

probability of YES

Kalshi

Resolution

Feb 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$44k

Liquidity$2.1m

CategoryElections

StatusOpen