🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate election margin of victory
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 6-9%
Live
Resolves Jun 2, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$22k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 15pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Alaska Senate election margin of victory
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 0-3%
57%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3-6%
27%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 0-3%
4%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 9-12%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, ≥12%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 9-12%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 3-6%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, ≥12%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 6-9%
1%
Resolution
Jun 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$22k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen