🗳️ Elections
Alaska Senate election margin of victory
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 3-6%
Live
Resolves Jun 2, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$18k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Alaska Senate election margin of victory
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 3-6%
56%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 0-3%
42%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 6-9%
2%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 0-3%
2%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, 9-12%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Mary Peltola, ≥12%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 6-9%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 9-12%
1%
Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, ≥12%
1%
Resolution
Jun 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$18k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen