🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 48%
Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
97%
No
3%
No (3%)Yes (97%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 97%.
About this market
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 49%
96%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 50%
85%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 51%
64%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 52%
57%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 53%
25%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 54%
17%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 55%
4%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 56%
3%
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen