🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 50%

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
85%
No
15%
No (15%)Yes (85%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$320
Liquidity
$330

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 85%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 48%
98%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 49%
96%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 51%
64%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 52%
57%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 53%
25%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 54%
17%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 55%
4%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 56%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
85%
probability of YES
Kalshi
85%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$320
Liquidity$330
CategoryElections
StatusOpen