🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 53%

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$777

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 25%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 53% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 48%
98%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 49%
96%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 50%
85%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 51%
64%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 52%
57%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 54%
17%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 55%
4%
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent — At least 56%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
25%
probability of YES
Kalshi
25%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$777
CategoryElections
StatusOpen