🗳️ Elections
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 29%

Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$684

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 29% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 21%
96%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 26%
95%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 42%
94%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 31%
93%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 33%
89%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 39%
86%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 37%
79%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 35%
76%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 47%
30%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$684
CategoryElections
StatusOpen