🗳️ Elections
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 39%
Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
87%
No
13%
No (13%)Yes (87%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$304
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 87%. Kalshi has moved up 38pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 39% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 21%
96%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 26%
95%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 29%
95%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 31%
93%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 33%
89%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 37%
79%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 35%
76%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 42%
49%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 47%
30%
Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$304
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen