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Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Cut 25bps

Live
Resolves Dec 9, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$131k
Liquidity
$508k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike 25bps
79%
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Fed maintains rate
21%
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike >25bps
1%
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Cut >25bps
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 9, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$131k
Liquidity$508k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen