📊 Macro
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Cut >25bps

Live
Resolves Dec 9, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$30k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike 25bps
67%
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Fed maintains rate
31%
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Cut 25bps
2%
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike >25bps
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 9, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$30k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen