🗳️ Elections
Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 11+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
19%
No
81%
No (81%)Yes (19%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$100
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 19%. Kalshi has moved down 15pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 1+ pts
88%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 2+ pts
82%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 3+ pts
75%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 4+ pts
57%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 5+ pts
48%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 6+ pts
41%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 8+ pts
34%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 7+ pts
33%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 9+ pts
30%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 10+ pts
21%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 12+ pts
13%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Nixon, 2+ pts
10%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 16+ pts
9%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 14+ pts
8%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 18+ pts
5%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$100
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen