🗳️ Elections
Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 14+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 96%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hawaii by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 20+ pts
95%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 17+ pts
91%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 26+ pts
89%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 23+ pts
75%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 35+ pts
65%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 29+ pts
57%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 38+ pts
51%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 32+ pts
46%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
96%
probability of YES
Kalshi
96%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen