🗳️ Elections
Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 38+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$67

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 51%.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hawaii by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 14+ pts
96%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 20+ pts
95%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 17+ pts
91%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 26+ pts
89%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 23+ pts
75%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 35+ pts
65%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 29+ pts
57%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 32+ pts
46%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
51%
probability of YES
Kalshi
51%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$67
CategoryElections
StatusOpen