🗳️ Elections
Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 20+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%. Kalshi has moved up 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hawaii by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 14+ pts
96%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 17+ pts
91%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 26+ pts
89%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 23+ pts
75%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 35+ pts
65%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 29+ pts
57%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 38+ pts
51%
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 32+ pts
46%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen