📊 Macro
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 4.8%
Live
Resolves Jan 8, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$931
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 4.8%, the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How high will unemployment get in 2026?
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 4.5%
16%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 5%
11%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 17%
9%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 10%
9%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 5.5%
4%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 6.5%
4%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 6%
4%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 7%
4%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 8%
3%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 12%
3%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 15%
3%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 20%
3%
How high will unemployment get in 2026? — Above 9%
1%
Resolution
Jan 8, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$931
Liquidity$2k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen