🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 56
Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 10%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party holds at least 56 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 46
99%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 47
97%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 48
91%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 49
86%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 50
80%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 51
75%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 52
66%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 53
56%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 54
40%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 55
23%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 57
5%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 58
4%
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen