🗳️ Elections
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Dec 1, 2026
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$25k
Liquidity
$14k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 25%.
About this market
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2029
98%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2028
97%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2028
92%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Oct 1, 2027
76%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2027
71%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Apr 1, 2027
67%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Mar 1, 2027
65%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Feb 1, 2027
61%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2027
51%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 26, 2026
23%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 20, 2026
13%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$25k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen