🗳️ Elections
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
76%
No
24%
No (24%)Yes (76%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 76%. Kalshi has moved up 25pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2029
98%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2028
97%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2028
92%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2027
71%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Apr 1, 2027
67%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Mar 1, 2027
65%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Feb 1, 2027
61%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2027
51%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Dec 1, 2026
35%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 26, 2026
23%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 20, 2026
13%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen