🗳️ Elections
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by November 30?

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
39%
No
61%
No (61%)Yes (39%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$7k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 39%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
39%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen