🗳️ Elections

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$37
Liquidity
$561

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 8%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$37
Liquidity$561
CategoryElections
StatusOpen