🗳️ Elections

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

92%

No (92%)Yes (8%)

Check on Polymarket →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 8%. Polymarket has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.