Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before Jan 1, 2027

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Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

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If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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