Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before Jan 20, 2029

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Kalshi currently prices this at 22%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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