Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%. Kalshi has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?